1. Houston Texans – Jadeveon Clowney, DE, South Carolina
As soon as you slot a QB to Houston, the entire complexion of the draft changes. Consensus is that Clowney is the #1 prospect. Its been that way for over a year. So, let’s save Houston the heartache and do something crazy — give them the best player in the draft with the 1st pick.
2. St. Louis Rams – Greg Robinson, OT, Auburn
Jake Matthews has superior pass blocking ability, a high floor and the bloodlines, so I wouldn’t be surprised if he goes here. But Robinson has the higher ceiling. Ideally the Rams would pick Matthews after a trade down for future picks they can then use to target a QB next year (looks like a great class, Marriota/Winston/Hundley) if Bradford doesn’t take that next step. If Jake Long is healthy in 2014, Robinson can start at RT or G before taking over as long-term LT.
3. Jacksonville Jaguars – Khalil Mack, OLB, Buffalo
Instead of flipping the coin on one of the QBs, Gus Bradley gets to continue building a defense in the mold of his former team in Seattle.
4. Cleveland Browns – Sammy Watkins, WR, Clemson
I can’t see Cleveland drafting a QB at #4. If they really like a guy, they couldn’t feel comfortable sitting behind JAX and still getting him. STL is a willing trade partner, so if its QB, they would no doubt jump up to get their guy. Whoever the QB is in 2014, he’ll have weapons.
5. TRADE: New York Giants – Jake Matthews, OT, Texas A&M
Even with all QBs available, I don’t have any ranked as top 5 players. Is Matt Schaub really THE guy in Oakland? I don’t know, but signs point to them feeling the same way about this QB class by trading for a starter. Giants jump in front of a number of teams who need pass protectors to snag a blue chipper instead of waiting for the leftovers at #12.
6. Atlanta Falcons – Taylor Lewan, OT, Michigan
Probably a worst case scenario for Atlanta. Lewan is still worth the pick. Might be some movement with this #6 pick too.
7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Mike Evans, WR, Texas A&M
BPA meets need here. Aaron Donald could be a darkhorse for this spot. Would fit great in Tampa-2.
8. Minnesota Vikings – Blake Bortles, QB, UCF
First QB off the board. This would be a great destination for Bortles. QB guru in Norv Turner and could sit behind Ponder/Cassell for at least a little while.
9. Buffalo Bills – Eric Ebron, TE, North Carolina
Could be lots of movement in this 9-16 range. Buffalo needs to surround EJ Manuel with talent so he can thrive. Zack Martin is a darkhorse selection here. Its a really close call, but I’ll go Ebron.
10. Detroit Lions – Justin Gilbert, CB, Oklahoma State
Lions have been rumored in trade scenarios as well. I can see that as they are just outside of area to grab an elite guy.
11. Tennessee Titans – Anthony Barr, OLB, UCLA
Titans need 3-4 personnel for their new scheme. Can’t see them passing on Barr here. His former college defensive coordinator is now in TENN.
12. Oakland Raiders (via NYG) – Johnny Manziel, QB, Texas A&M
At #5 QB didn’t make sense, but if they can move down, add picks and still get a QB, that would be huge. Manziel just seems like a fit in silver and black.
13. St. Louis Rams – Ha Ha Clinton-Dix, S, Alabama
Aside from a trade down for STL, this is a best case scenario in the 1st round. I don’t think they will be looking at WR early, they’ve drafted so many pass catchers recently and need to develop the guys they have.
14. Chicago Bears – Aaron Donald, DT, Pittsburgh
Donald is too good to pass on for me here. I want to put him higher, but at 6-1 285, I can’t see a team taking him in the top 10. Dude is just a baller.
15. Pittsburgh Steelers – Odell Beckham, WR, LSU
Beckham is gaining serious momentum through the draft process. He fits really well with what Pittsburgh does on offense, filling the void from losing Emanuel Sanders and Mike Wallace in consecutive years.
16. Dallas Cowboys – Kony Ealy, DE, Missouri
Dallas has to get better up front. Ealy is one of the few prototype 4-3 DEs in this draft. Ealy will go high. Could be some trade action here.
17. TRADE: San Francisco 49ers – Kyle Fuller, CB, Virginia Tech
Ravens rumored to move down. Niners will move up. Obvious ties here. 30+77 is similar value to 31+74 for #18 last year. Fuller is best fit for SF here with their need at CB and his length/athleticism/physicality combo.
18. New York Jets – Darqueze Dennard, CB, Michigan State
Dennard fits the physical style Rex Ryan likes. They addressed WR in free agency, and there will be more good ones later in the draft.
19. Miami Dolphins – Zack Martin, OT/OG, Notre Dame
Ideal fit here. Not a great chance Martin makes it this far, but he did in this scenario. Miami may have to move up to ensure a top OT. If Miami is on the clock and OTs are gone, a move down makes a lot of sense.
20. Arizona Cardinals – Calvin Pryor, S, Louisville
AZ will address secondary early. QB is darkhorse if a their guy falls, but I think they wait.
21. Green Bay Packers – CJ Mosley, LB, Alabama
BPA here. There aren’t 20 players better than Mosely in this class, but his devalued position and injuries push him down.
22. TRADE: Jacksonville Jaguars – Teddy Bridgewater, QB, Louisville
I like Philly to move back as they are short on picks. Eagles get 39+70. Gus Bradley could see a lot of Russell Wilson in Teddy. JAX jumps in front of CLE (twice), HOU, TB, Cincy to grab their QB. Jags should have no problem bowing out of day two altogether after landing Mack/TB. Still lots of day three picks to work with. Could even move back into 3rd rd later.
23. Kansas City Chiefs – Brandin Cooks, WR, Oregon State
Cooks could fill the Desean Jackson role in Reid’s offense. And Dwayne Bowe probably wont see the end of his current contract.
24. Cincinnati Bengals – Deone Buchanon, S, Washington State
Bengals like to draft big, Fast, prototype athletes in the first round. Buchanon is that at Cincy’s biggest need position.
25. San Diego Chargers – Jason Verrett, CB, TCU
Verrett could be the best CB in this class. Has everything but size. Could be a good thing for SD with need to cover Welker etc. out of the slot.
26. Cleveland Browns – Derek Carr, QB, Fresno State
Rumor is they love Carr. My instincts tell me if they really did love Carr, we wouldn’t know about it. Those instincts also tell me they need a QB very badly. I like all of these QBs much more at #26 than #4.
27. New Orleans Saints – Dee Ford, OLB, Auburn
The idea in New Orleans is to get Drew Brees back on the field. Ford might not be available here without some injuries in the draft process.
28. Carolina Panthers -Cody Latimer, WR, Indiana
Late riser. Will give Cam a big target with speed. Panther need to develop a #1 guy.
29. New England Patriots – Joel Bitonio, OT, Nevada
Protect Brady first. Bitonio fits the profile of players NE likes, nasty and athletic. Could play tackle or heir to Logan Mankins.
30. Baltimore Ravens (via SF) – Cyrus Kouandjio, OT, Alabama
Kouandjio is only 20y/o and has the tools to develop plenty as an NFL RT. Medical re-check will be big in determining if he falls out of 1st round.
31. Denver Broncos – Ryan Shazier, LB, Ohio State
Even with no QB pushing other players down in the draft, there are still 1st round caliber players available. Shazier is undersized, but really athletic, can play the run, blitz and cover. A three down player.
32. Seattle Seahawks – Rashede Hageman, DT, Minnesota
Seattle got hit in free agency and will need to replace a couple pieces. Hageman is a versatile player who can fill a lot of roles in Seattle’s DL rotation.
Houston Texans – Jimmy Garappolo, QB, Eastern Illinois
And that concludes the quarterback portion of this mock draft.
Cleveland Browns –
– Timmy Jernigan, DT, Florida State
– Demarcus Lawrence, OLB, Boise State
– Marqise Lee, WR, USC
You think Lee made an impression on Chip Kelly when he lit up Oregon for 12/157/2 in 2012?
– Xavier Sua-Filo, OG, UCLA
– Jawuan James, OT, Tennessee
– Louis Nix, DT, Notre Dame
– Kelvin Benjamin, WR, Florida State
– Phillip Gaines, CB, Rice
45. Detroit Lions – Jimmie Ward, S, Norther Illinois
46. Pittsburgh– Stephon Tuitt, DE, Notre Dame
– Terrence Brooks, S, Florida State
– Jordan Matthews, WR, Vanderbilt
– Allen Robinson, WR, Penn State
– Scott Crichton, DE, Oregon State
– Jeremiah Attouchu, OLB, Georgia Tech
– Jace Amaro, TE, Texas Tech
– Kyle Van Noy, OLB, BYU
– Weston Richburg, C, Colorado State
56. San Francisco– Martavis Bryant, WR, Clemson
– Donte Moncrief, WR, Ole Miss
– Davante Adams, WR, Fresno State
– Marcus Martin, C/G, USC
60. Carolina– Cameron Fleming, OT, Stanford
– Marcus Smith, OLB, Louisville
– Carlos Hyde, RB, Ohio State
– Pierre Desir, CB, Lindenwood