2013 Shadow 49ers:
1. Xavier Rhodes, CB, Florida State
2. Tank Carradine, DE, Florida State
2. Keenan Allen, WR, Cal
3. Brandon Williams, DT, Missouri Southern
4. Earl Wolff, S, NC State
4. Marcus Lattimore, RB, South Carolina
5. David Quessenberry, OL, San Jose State
6. Baccari Rambo, S, Georgia
7. Chase Thomas, OLB, Stanford
7. Matt Scott, QB, Arizona
7. Marqueis Gray, TE, Minnesota
1.Eric Reid, S, LSU
2.Cornelluis “Tank” Carradine, DE, Florida State
2.Vance McDonald, TE, Rice
3.Corey Lemonier, OLB, Auburn
4.Quinton Patton, WR, LA Tech
4.Marcus Lattimore, RB, South Carolina
5.Quinton Dial, DT, Alabama
6.Nick Moody, OLB, Florida State
7.BJ Daniels, QB, South Florida
7.Carter Bykowski, OT, Iowa State
7.Marcus Cooper, CB, Rutgers
~2013 Shadow Draft~
Welcome to my shadow draft. I appologize for the sloppiness due to the pace of blogging along real-time. You like my squad or the real thing?
Round 1: Expect a trade
49ers: Eric Reid, S, LSU
Don’t love this pick after a trade-up to #18 with Cowboys. Not bad trade value (#31 and #74). Reid doesn’t play to his workout numbers. I don’t know that he’d be any better than other safeties in his tier like Matt Elam and John Cyprien. If you want a bigger guy, TJ McDonald should be available much later. If you’re worried about who will start in 2013, then sign a veteran. Eric Reid will be a starter, though, and safety is the only position where a starter is needed, so thats why they reached. Saving grace might be that Reid is smart and reportedly a hard worker, so maybe he can realize his talent. Just worry about his natural instincts, which are such a big part of that position. He takes really bad angles to the ball. Trading up was the plan heading into the draft, but most of my main targets are gone. If Reid was the target, I would have waited it out, used trade chips to move up later or tried to go up higher for Vaccarro/Star/Austin (well, maybe not Austin, that’s very high for a 5-8 WR). But, of course, you need a dance partner first.
Tough choice here between my top players available. Sharrif Floyd, Cordarrelle Patterson, Datone Jones, CBs Xavier Rhodes(better man corner), Desmond Trufant(better zone corner) and Tyler Eifert. Floyd doesn’t fit the scheme. Patterson is most talented, but might not have his head screwed on straight. CB is a crowded position in SF this year…but Asomugha, Rogers and Tarrell Brown are all on final year of contracts. Culliver is iffy to be any more than a #3 (could also use him at safety) and Tarrell Brown should be re-signed as a solid #2. A future #1 corner, which are hard to find is my pick here. Rhodes has elite length and speed combo that you just can’t find in corners. A great matchup for bigger WRs, but can also run with speed guys down field.
My pick: Xavier Rhodes, CB, Florida State
So trading up was a fine idea in the 1st round. It turns out that almost all of my top targets were gone by #31. Vikings ended up drafting 3 of those guys in 1st round, wow, looks good for them…we’ll see. Maybe a shorter trade-up using #93 or a 4th would have been a better move.
It only takes a few plays to see how much more instinctive Johnathan Cyprien, who would be my pick at the 49ers original #31 pick, plays than Eric Reid. Too many times you see Reid come up to meet the ball carrier with a bad angle and end up somehow chasing him from behind. And the small school thing is overblown considering this Cyprien clip is vs. Louisville and Teddy Bridgewater who is being touted as a future #1 pick at QB. The interception he makes at 0:27 near the sideline shows his range. Not to mention Cyprien’s performance at the Senior Bowl against top competition showed he belongs.
Reid (video) vs. Cyprien (video)
Zach Ertz, John Cyprien and Matt Elam are the best available at #31, but I always had Ertz targeted at #34. Which brings us to…
Round 2: Check out my tight end
49ers pick: Cornelluis “Tank” Carradine, DE, Florida State
Another trade. Got a 3rd next year (good!) and another 7th this year (eh.. already have three) to move down to #40. Can’t argue with the return, but I still wouldn’t make this trade down. Unless it was was for something crazy…just have too many picks. Need impact over depth. Not worth losing out on Zach Ertz, who went the next pick #35 to Philly. I do like Tank, even more than Reid, but he’s an injury risk (ACL) and doesn’t fit ideally in 3-4 scheme unless he can bulk up another 15-20 lbs and be a DE…which is possible with his frame. Will be a situational rusher in 2013. Not a linebacker. Although, I thought the same thing about Aldon Smith.
I would have stayed at #34 and taken Ertz. He would be killer in that two TE offense (redzone!). And could be the future #1 TE if Vernon Davis declines or moves on via free agency down the road. I do like Tank and will pick him as well at #40, but I would have taken Ertz at #34 and tried to trade up from #61 to nab Tank. He’s a first round talent and only falls due to injury.
My pick: Tank Carradine
49ers pick: Vance McDonald, TE, Rice
Ugh. Kind of bummed out on this draft so far by Baalke and Harbaugh. They pretty much did the opposite of what I was thinking in the 2nd round. Would Tank have still been here at #55? I don’t know, but its worth the gamble and good players are still available at #61 even if Tank is gone and no trade available. McDonald is nowhere near the player Ertz is. So many players I’d take over McDonald here. He’s built well and has okay straight line speed, but stiff. They moved up with Packers to take him and I wouldn’t have drafted him at #61 and maybe not in the 3rd round, depending who is available. Never more than a #2 TE. 49ers had so much draft capital to pick exactly who they want and are really blowing it IMO. Two need based reaches so far…and traded UP for both.
Of the players left, I really like Keenan Allen, DJ Swearinger and Tyrann Matheiu (but wouldn’t take him here due to character concerns, but maybe in 3rd round). I don’t have a safety or TE yet, which are two biggest needs, but I’m going BPA.
My pick: Keenan Allen, WR, Cal
(Allen scouting video)
Round 3: A time for depth, but starters lurk3.88
49ers pick: Corey Lemonier, OLB, Auburn
Okay, I’m starting to see a theme here. Its like bizzarro 49ers draft. They move up again to draft a player with good height/weight/speed…and LONG ARMS which seems to be their most sought after attribute. They are doing exactly what I thought in this draft, except for weird players. Turns out Keenan Allen was still on the board at our original #74 pick (went #76). Sio Moore, TJ McDonald, Matheiu are all off the board now, so other teams like the same guys I do, just not the 49ers. We’ll see if the coaching staff can get the most out of their guys. DT Jesse Williams is falling, but this small school guy I like more.My pick: Brandon Williams, NT, Missouri Southern
(Williams scouting video)
After day two the 49ers have a poor grade by me. Their team: Reid, Carradine, McDonald, Lemonier vs. my haul: Rhodes, Carradine, Allen, Williams. But what kills me, is we COULD have something like Cyprien, Ertz, Carradine, Allen…which would be amazing. My team doesn’t have a safety, but that’s the thing, this draft is stacked with them….Earl Wolff, Baccari Rambo, Duke Willams and Phillip Thomas are all still available and could all be starters in the league.
Round 4: Fallers
49ers pick: Quinton Patton, WR, LA Tech
Okay, day three going much better. A great value in Patton here. He could end up better than AJ Jenkins if Jenkins doesn’t develop a lot this offseason. My team already took Keenan Allen, so I would probably pass on him with the need at safety. Duke Willams, Shamarko and Phillip Thomas all went this round. Could double-up on safeties and hope competition nets a starter. This pick would probably be Jesse Williams if I had control over trades, because I’d have a safety already and probably not had the pick where I took Brandon Williams who is now gone.
My pick: Earl Wolff, S, NC State
(Wolff scouting video)
49ers pick: Marcus Lattimore, RB, South Carolina
Another good pick in the 4th. Lattimore had been rumored to SF here and I like it. Needs have been addressed, so its worth a flyer. Wouldnt be all that surprised if the 4th rounders out-produced the 1stand 2nd rounders. Jesse Williams again tempting, but I thought he was overrated and that is validated, plus there’s an injury issue with him. Still…surprised he’s here this late.
My pick: Marcus Lattimore, RB, South Carolina
With 4 rounds in the books, with full trade control, the picks would be: Rhodes/Cyprien, (depending on if Reid fell and how high I would be able to move up using #93 instead of #74 or not at all) Zach Ertz, Carradine/Swearinger, Keenan Allen, Jesse Williams/Patton, Lattimore… and thats not counting the extra pick at #93 if there was no 1st round trade.Wow, that destroys the real draft IMO.
Round 5: Sleepers
49ers pick: Quinton Dial, DT, Alabama
Dial wasn’t on my radar. He’s huge and raw. At this point not a bad pick. Could develop into an end or nose in 3-4. Good depth pick. Ryan Swope would be a good speedy slot option, but depth along o-line wins.
My pick: David Quessenberry, OL, San Jose State
Round 6: Can any of these guys really make the team?
49ers pick: Nick Moody, OLB, Florida State
Again, not on my radar. With his size, looks like a special teams type of player, not a 3-4 linebacker. Surprised to see Baccari Rambo still on the board here. Concerns for teams with him and failed drug tests. Too talented to pass on. Hope competition between rookies and Dahl could shake out a stud.
My pick: Baccari Rambo, S, Georgia
49ers pick: BJ Daniels, QB, South Florida
Dual threat training camp arm. No reason to have any trade-able picks left. Another character guy surprisingly is still on the board, DaRick Rogers, but its a bad sign he’s still available and I’ve already taken a big WR. I’ll go with a high motor guy who has a better shot to make the team. Surprised to see some of the names who fell to the 7th round and will possibly go undrafted.
My pick: Chase Thomas, OLB, Stanford
49ers pick: Carter Bykowski, OT, Iowa State
My pick: Matt Scott, QB, Arizona
49ers pick: Marcus Cooper, CB, Rutgers
Gray is my sleeper of the draft. Convert to TE from QB. Good size, speed, hands and run after catch ability. Delanie Walker type project.
My pick: Marqueis Gray, TE, Minnesota